TLDR All code used for this analysis can be found here. Introduction One of the central wisdoms in forecasting is that an ensemble of forecasts…
Statistics
Three Months of Crowd-Forecasting Covid-19
Note: I posted this on the LessWrong Forum on December 31st 2020. It is somewhat related to this post I made about the project previously….
Crowd-Forecasting the Covid-19 Pandemic
Some time ago I started working on a crowd-forecasting app for my PhD (code). The app allows experts and non-experts to make predictions for the…
Gender Differences Among Top Performers in Chess
Chess is (unfortunately) a man’s world, and gender differences in chess are large. While the gap in average play is not large between men and…
R Cheat Sheets
I really wasn’t aware of that for a long time, but for anyone who is using R, these R Cheat Sheets can prove tremendously helpful….
A Map of Univariate Distributions
My roommate recently showed me this map of univariate distributions and I think it’s awesome. Here is a snapshot: It visualizes the relationship between different…
Friday, 31.01.2020 – The Distribution Zoo
Link of the day: The Distribution Zoo This is an online app that allows you to conveniently visualize different distributions and gives you the mean…
Thursday, 30.01.2020 – Can Statisticians Forecast Better than A guy With A Pencil?
Link of the day: Delphi Epicast I am currently working on a master thesis that tries to predict cases of Ebola in Congo. The models…
R – Two histograms in One Plot
Recently I was doing Bayesian analysis and wanted to visualize the prior and the posterior distribution of one of my parameters in one plot to…