TLDR All code used for this analysis can be found here. Introduction One of the central wisdoms in forecasting is that an ensemble of forecasts…
Forecasting
Announcing the UK Covid-19 Crowd Forecasting Challenge
Next Monday (May 24th 2021) is the official begin of the UK Covid-19 Crowd Forecasting Challenge. Over the course of 12 weeks, human forecasters will…
Crowd forecasting Covid-19 Cases and Deaths in Europe
For the past few months of my PhD in epidemiology I have worked on forecasting and forecast evaluation. In many places, forecast models have had…