New Bets!

A while ago I started charity bets. Here are a couple of new and updated bets I would be willing to take:

  1. Kim Jong-Un is not announced dead in 2020 (90%, 1:9 odds)
  2. Kim Jong-Un is not announced dead before May 31st 2020 (95%, 1:19 odds)
  3. There will be no vaccine against the coronavirus administered to more than 10,000 people by the end of 2020 (80%, 1:4 odds)
  4. Trump will be reelected in 2020 (55%, 45:55 odds)
  5. There will not be conclusive evidence that the coronavirus originated from a lab in Hubei by 2020 (90%, 1:9 odds)
  6. There will be no corona app in Germany with an adoption rate of greater than 50% of smartphone users by the end of 2020 (90%, 1:9 odds)
  7. More than half of all states in the US will vote in person in 2020 (85%, 3:17 odds)
  8. The DAX will close with a lower value on 31.12.2020 than on 31.12.2019 = DAX will be lower than 13 249,01 points on 31.12.2020 (90%, 1:9 odds)
  9. Boris Johnson will remain Prime Minister in 2020 (93% 7:93 odds)
  10. The number of births in December 2020 in Germany will be lower than the number of births in December 2019 (50%, 1:1 odds)
  11. The number of divorces in Germany in  2021 will be lower than the number in 2020 (50%, 1:1 odds) 

It is very easy. If you like to bet, contact me, and we can agree on a question and on odds. You can also reverse the bet if you like.

Example: For bet number 2, “Kim Jong-Un is not announced dead before May 31st 2020 (90%, 1:9 odds)”. If we bet, we need to decide on an appropriate amount. I will donate 9€ for every 1€ you offered if I am wrong and Kim Jong-Un is annonuced dead. If I am correct, you will have to donate 1€ for every 9€ I offered.

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